China's Economy at the Most Critical Point
China is transiting into a very difficult period as focus shifts towards sustainable domestic growth and away from short-term measures to defend the 8% GDP mantra.
housing bubble;government debt;wage hike
August 13rd,2010
Chinese Leaders Hint Economic Policy Softening
"there is visible softening in policy tone as we have predicted, and the emphasis is placed on 'maintaining policy stability' as the policy theme going forward."
economic softening,double dip
July 22nd,2010
Double-Dip Days
So, as the optimists' delusional hopes for a rapid V-shaped recovery evaporate, the advanced world will be at best in a long U-shaped recovery, which in some cases – the eurozone and Japan – may be long enough to stretch into an L-shaped near-depression. Avoiding double dip recession will be difficult.
slowdown, double dip
July 18th,2010
China's Slowdown, U/ L Shaped Recovery, and Roubini's "Double Dip Days"
A scenario in which US growth slumps to 1.5%, the eurozone and Japan stagnate, and China's growth slows below 8% may not imply a global contraction, but, as in the US, it will feel like one. And any additional shock could tip this unstable global economy back into full-fledged recession
slowdown,double dip,
July 18th,2010
Fiscal Fibs and Follies
Across the globe, the debate over fiscal consolidation has the distinct sound of two sides talking past one another.
soverign debt, government debt
July 15th,2010
Central Banking Deflowered
After the European Central Bank announced on May 9 that it would buy the government bonds of Mediterranean countries experiencing severe fiscal strains, critics complained that the Bank had "lost its virginity."
ECB,Fed
July 8th,2010
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